PHIL 266 Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic
- Level 2 or above
None.
one-way Exclusions
- Lectures
- Ian Hacking, An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic
- Additional readings available on the course onQ page.
Instructor: Joshua Mozersky
Will the future resemble the past? How should we decide what to do? Can groups make rational decisions? What is the best way to draw conclusions about the unknown? Are we living in a computer simulation?
These questions have two things in common. First, their solutions continue to evade philosophers and others who have thought about them. Secondly, their answers depend on probabilistic and inductive reasoning.
This course introduces the basic concepts, tools, and techniques of probability and inductive logic so that students will be equipped to reflect thoughtfully and precisely on these and related questions.
Topics to be covered include: the calculation of probabilities; the uses of probability in decision-making; paradoxes of decision; the nature of probability; uncertainty and risk; the relationship between probability and statistics; the philosophical problem of induction; the new riddle of induction.
No prior familiarity with probability is assumed and any necessary mathematical tools will be introduced to students.
No prior familiarity with philosophy is assumed and students from other departments are warmly welcomed.
Assessments
Assessments
Term tests and a final exam.
AI/Technology Policy:
Use of electronic devices in class is: Permitted
Use of AI (generative, agential, etc.) for work for this course is: Permitted
Course technology policy statement: AI may be used for brainstorming or help with homework, but all submitted work must be original to the student and written in the student's own words.